Mali: Avoiding Escalation
Africa Report N°189
18 Jul 2012
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS
In a little more than two months, Mali’s
political regime has been demolished. An armed rebellion launched on 17
January 2012 expelled the army from the north while a coup deposed
President Amadou Toumani Touré (ATT) on 22 March. These two episodes
ushered Mali into an unprecedented crisis that also threatens regional
political stability and security. An external armed intervention would
nevertheless involve considerable risks. The international community
must support dialogue between the armed and unarmed actors in the north
and south to favour a political solution to the crisis. The Economic
Community of West African States (ECOWAS) must readjust its mediation
efforts to avoid aggravating the already deep fault lines in Malian
society. Strengthening the credibility of the transitional institutions
to restore the state and the security forces is an absolute priority.
Finally, coordinated regional security measures must be taken to prevent
originally foreign groups from turning northern Mali into a new front
in the war on terror.
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